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Applying Bayess rule, we have odds(smoker | cancer) = odds(smoker) * p(cancer | smoker) / p(cancer | non-smoker) Rearranging terms, we can solve for the risk ratio: p(cancer | smoker) / p(cancer | non-smoker) = odds(smoker | cancer) / odds(smoker) = 16 Thats the answer I had in mind, but let me address an objection raised by one poll respondent, who chose Other because, You cant draw casual inferences from observational data without certain assumptions which Im unwilling to make. Thats true

In fact, its common to feel the beginnings of relaxation by the time youve finished a few puffs

What no one doubts is that the severity of the pandemicmore than 95,000 Americans were reported dead in one month at its heighthas transformed the nations relationship with medical authority

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That represents about 5 million youth and 14.5 million adults